Will “Tough on Crime” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Tough on Crime” was not said at the Political debates on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 4, 2025.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any candidate
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Tough on Crime
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2025 | Tough on Crime |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Tough on Crime” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Tough on Crime” was not said at the Political debates on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 4, 2025.
- What is the probability “Tough on Crime” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Tough on Crime’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/tough-on-crime (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=tough%20on%20crime · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP