Will “Tariff” be said 5+ times at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tariff” was not said 5+ times at the Political debates on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Tariff 5+ times
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Tariff 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Tariff 5+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Tariff 5+ times” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tariff” was not said 5+ times at the Political debates on any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability “Tariff 5+ times” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Tariff 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/tariff-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=tariff%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP