Will Marco Rubio say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Trump” 3+ times at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Marco Rubio
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 45% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of Hormuz and this critical artery of global trade. And so President Trump, as he always does, stepped up and answered the calls for their…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trump 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 14, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
| May 13, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Marco Rubio say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Trump” 3+ times at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Marco Rubio says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP