Will Marco Rubio say “Toll”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Toll” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.

In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 press briefings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Marco Rubio

Toll

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during The Katie Miller Podcast? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say on Fox News: My View? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during House Committee Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during his Committee on Appropriations budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during his Press Briefing? · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Marco Rubiospeakerprepared · 7:46In transcript

…was, anyone can use it, no mines in the water, nobody paying tolls. That's what we have to get back to and that's the goal…

Marco Rubiospeakerqa · 31:55In transcript

…we're going to do it too. We're now going to start charging tolls, and it'll get closer and closer to us. That's unacceptable. We cannot…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 5, 2026TollKalshiYes3

Questions

How often does Marco Rubio say “Toll”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Toll” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
What is the probability Marco Rubio says “Toll” next time?
64%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘Toll’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/toll (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=toll · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP