Will Marco Rubio say “Blockade”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Blockade” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 press briefings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Marco Rubio
Blockade
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
13 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
It's criminal for sure, but it's desperate and destructive, this blockade of the Straits of Hormuz nations from around the world, the overwhelming majority of…
…sanctions enforcement is stepping up, it's moving in lockstep with the naval blockade to degrade Iran's capacity to generate, to move and repatriate revenue. It…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Blockade |  Kalshi | Yes | 13 |
Questions
- How often does Marco Rubio say “Blockade”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Marco Rubio said “Blockade” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Marco Rubio says “Blockade” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘Blockade’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/blockade (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=blockade · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP