Will Marco Rubio say “2028 / Campaign”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio said “2028 / Campaign” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 13, 2026 (25%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; May 5, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

34%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Marco Rubio

2028 / Campaign

Probability
34% · n=8
Settled
2/8 (25%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during The Katie Miller Podcast? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Marco Rubio say on Fox News: My View? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during House Committee Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Marco Rubio say during his Committee on Appropriations budget hearing? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled no

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What will Marco Rubio say during his Press Briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 28, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo
Aug 11, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes
Aug 1, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo
Jun 3, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes
Jun 2, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo
Jun 2, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo
May 14, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo
May 13, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Marco Rubio say “2028 / Campaign”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Marco Rubio said “2028 / Campaign” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 13, 2026 (25%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026.
What is the probability Marco Rubio says “2028 / Campaign” next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Marco Rubio: ‘2028 / Campaign’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marco-rubio/words/2028-or-campaign (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marco-rubio&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marco-rubio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP