Will Kathy Hochul say “World Cup”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “World Cup” at 2 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 5, 2026 (22%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
World Cup
- Probability
- 28% · n=9
- Settled
- 2/9 (22%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | World Cup |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 24, 2026 | World Cup | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 23, 2026 | World Cup | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 17, 2026 | World Cup | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 13, 2026 | World Cup | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 12, 2026 | World Cup | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 10, 2026 | World Cup | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 9, 2026 | World Cup | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 5, 2026 | World Cup | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “World Cup”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “World Cup” at 2 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 5, 2026 (22%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “World Cup” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘World Cup’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/world-cup (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=world%20cup · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP