What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Ballroom / Pool” next time?

32%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Kathy Hochul say “Ballroom / Pool”?

Name: Kathy Hochul: “Ballroom / Pool” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul did not say “Ballroom / Pool” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

32%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 22:48 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Ballroom / Pool

Probability: 32% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Kathy Hochul say during her Public Safety Announcement? · settled no

Open the appearance