Will James Talarico say “Billionaire”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, James Talarico said “Billionaire” at 9 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 25, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

60%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=billionaire

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

James Talarico

Billionaire

Probability
60% · n=12
Settled
9/12 (75%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for James Talarico yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will James Talarico say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during The Rachel Maddow Show? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during the Texas Democratic Convention? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: The Weekend? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes
Aug 3, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo
Jul 29, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes
Jun 26, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes
Jun 20, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes
Jun 18, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes
Jun 11, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo
May 26, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes
Mar 3, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo
Jan 25, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes

Questions

How often does James Talarico say “Billionaire”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, James Talarico said “Billionaire” at 9 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 25, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability James Talarico says “Billionaire” next time?
60%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “James Talarico: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-talarico/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-talarico&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP