James Talarico: Debate, Jan 25, 2026
Kalshi What will James Talarico say during the debate with Jasmine Crockett?
Markets
14 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greg Abbott | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ken Paxton | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abortion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redistricting / Redistricted | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transgender / Trans | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTALARICOMENTION-26JAN25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP