Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Supreme Court”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Supreme Court” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceHakeem Jeffries
Supreme Court
- Probability
- 66% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Supreme Court | Yes | |
| May 21, 2026 | Supreme Court | Yes | |
| May 19, 2026 | Supreme Court | Yes | |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Supreme Court | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Supreme Court”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Supreme Court” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Supreme Court” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP