Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Iran / Iranian” at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (44%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

48%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Hakeem Jeffries

Iran / Iranian

Probability
48% · n=9
Settled
4/9 (44%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

ED O'KEEFEotherFace the Nation (CBS), February 15, 2026 · Feb 15, 2026In transcript

…Pentagon is reportedly planning for the possibility of sustained weeks-long operations against Iran if diplomacy fails and the president opts to attack. What do you…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during All in with Chris Hayes? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during his NAN remarks? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 16, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jul 20, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 14, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Jun 10, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
May 21, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
May 19, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Apr 26, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Mar 9, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Iran / Iranian” at 4 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (44%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026.
What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP