Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Iran”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Iran” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (75%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Hakeem Jeffries
Iran
- Probability
- 71% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Pentagon is reportedly planning for the possibility of sustained weeks-long operations against Iran if diplomacy fails and the president opts to attack. What do you…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Iran” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (75%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Iran” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP