Will Cory Booker say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Cory Booker said “Iran / Iranian” at 6 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 29, 2026 (55%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 15, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceCory Booker
Iran / Iranian
- Probability
- 36% · n=11
- Settled
- 6/11 (55%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Yes | 2 | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | No | – | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | No | – | |
| May 28, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Yes | – | |
| May 26, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Yes | – | |
| May 20, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Yes | – | |
| May 14, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Yes | – | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Cory Booker say “Iran / Iranian”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Cory Booker said “Iran / Iranian” at 6 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 29, 2026 (55%), most recently on Sep 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Cory Booker says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Cory Booker: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/cory-booker/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=cory-booker&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=cory-booker&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP