Will Bernie Sanders say “Israel”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Israel” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2025 (33%), most recently on Sep 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 76¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Bernie Sanders
Israel
- Probability
- 42% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Israel”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Israel” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2025 (33%), most recently on Sep 6, 2025.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Israel” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Israel’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/israel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=israel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP