Will Bernie Sanders say “Department of Defense / Department of War”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders did not say “Department of Defense / Department of War” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

32%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=department%20of%20defense%20%2F%20department%20of%20war

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Department of Defense / Department of War

Probability
32% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 29, 2026Department of Defense / Department of WarKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026Department of Defense / Department of WarKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Department of Defense / Department of War”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders did not say “Department of Defense / Department of War” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 25, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Department of Defense / Department of War” next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Department of Defense / Department of War’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/department-of-defense-or-department-of-war (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=department%20of%20defense%20%2F%20department%20of%20war · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP