Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez say “Trump”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said “Trump” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 2, 2026 (43%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

48%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=alexandria-ocasio-cortez&word=trump

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Trump

Probability
48% · n=7
Settled
3/7 (43%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will AOC say during her town hall? · not listed

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What will AOC say during March on Washington? · settled no

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What will AOC say during her Grand Rapids rally? · settled yes

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What will AOC say during her Lansing rally? · settled yes

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What will AOC say during her Detroit rally? · settled yes

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What will AOC say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will AOC say during her AI Press Conference? · settled no

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What will AOC say during her Defiance Act press conference? · settled no

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What will AOC say during Mamdani's inauguration? · settled no

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What will AOC say during the CNN Town Hall? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 28, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jul 19, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jul 18, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 23, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 2, 2026TrumpKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez say “Trump”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said “Trump” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 2, 2026 (43%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
What is the probability Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says “Trump” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/alexandria-ocasio-cortez/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alexandria-ocasio-cortez&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alexandria-ocasio-cortez&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP