Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: Remarks, Sep 27, 2026
Kalshi What will AOC say during her town hall?
Markets
17 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 68%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 68%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 64%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Gaza / Israel / Palestine | Yes | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tuition | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | Yes | 25%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court / SCOTUS | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 24%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXAOCMENTION-26SEP27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP