Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez say “New York”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said “New York” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
New York
- Probability
- 46% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shownQuestions
- How often does Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez say “New York”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said “New York” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says “New York” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: ‘New York’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/alexandria-ocasio-cortez/words/new-york (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alexandria-ocasio-cortez&word=new%20york · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alexandria-ocasio-cortez&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP