Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez say “Elon / Musk”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said “Elon / Musk” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (38%), most recently on Sep 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Elon / Musk
- Probability
- 47% · n=8
- Settled
- 3/8 (38%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez say “Elon / Musk”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said “Elon / Musk” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (38%), most recently on Sep 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says “Elon / Musk” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/alexandria-ocasio-cortez/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alexandria-ocasio-cortez&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alexandria-ocasio-cortez&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP