Will “Crash” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Crash” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 22, 2025.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Crash
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a fitness and gambling influencer, which is how he's described, named Shane Stouffer, who's better known as Togey, managed to time Moderna's crash almost perfectly.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…gotta do. You gotta you gotta put the screws to Jordy when he doesn't wanna give his true take and get him to crash out.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…you you know, a lot of them don't meet emissions or don't crash standard. Do the phony Montana plate thing. Okay. Now you're in jail.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Roadster from 2019 that they never released, like driving straight at it, you're like, it's gonna crash, and then he goes and jumps over it.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Jetstar. I was able to debunk this. It's a really ridiculous concept. $8 in 3,000,000 if your flight crashes for a single flight. Of course.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Crash |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Crash” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Crash” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 22, 2025.
- What is the probability “Crash” is said on TBPN next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Crash’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/crash (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=crash · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP