What is the probability Candace Owens says “Trump 5+ times” next time?

62%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Will Candace Owens say “Trump” 5+ times?

Name: Candace Owens: “Trump 5+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Candace Owens said “Trump” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

62%from settlement history only · n=2counts: anyone

Last 10: 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: anyone

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 16:40 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Candace Owens

Trump 5+ times

Probability: 62% · n=2
Settled: 2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for Candace Owens yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Candace Owens say during her show? · not listed

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What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday? · settled yes

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