Will “Recession” be said on All-In Podcast next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Recession” was not said on All-In Podcast in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.

29%from settlement history only · n=3counts: anyone
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All-In Podcast

Recession

Probability
29% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 2 of 4

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, October 16, 2026 · Oct 16, 2026 · 20:10In transcript

Yeah. Recession. Here's the question, J. Cal, is you got this core weave crash. Their bonds are being marked down to 80%. It's down 15%…

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, September 25, 2026 · Sep 25, 2026 · 1:23:02In transcript

you probably net the economy to zero and potentially even a recession that's it yeah that's like you don't even think they need it i…

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 18) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 11) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 4) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 31) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jan 9, 2026RecessionPolymarketNo
Dec 12, 2025RecessionPolymarketNo
Dec 6, 2025RecessionPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Recession” said on All-In Podcast?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Recession” was not said on All-In Podcast in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 6, 2025.
What is the probability “Recession” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP