Will “Elon / Musk” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Elon / Musk” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Elon / Musk
- Probability
- 57% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 4 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…obviously. Adding to Chamat's little tweet was a friend of the pod, Elon Musk, who decided to contribute five letters, one word that has since…
It would be great if these technology companies, man, if Elon starts making homes, it's game over. He'll make homes as fast as he's making…
…were losing their mind last week. And the adults came, daddy came, Elon came, Jensen came, all the adults in the room came and they…
a tweet go to 150 million views since Elon said he was going to put the cocaine back in Coca-Cola, which I think was the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Elon / Musk |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Polymarket | No |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Elon / Musk” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Elon / Musk” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 3, 2026.
- What is the probability “Elon / Musk” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP