All-In Podcast: Episode, Jul 3, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 3)
Markets
20 words · 16 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic 10+ times | Yes | 68%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 40+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blue | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Company | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| First | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Green | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| IPO / Public | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Market | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Model | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Performer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Red | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tourism | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trillion / Trillionaire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Customize | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Korea / Korean | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prisoner | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Samsung / Hynix | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-july-3-20260630164419941 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP