The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jan 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Amy Klobuchar say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Republican | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crime / Criminal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Noem / Homan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nurse | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investigate / Investigating / Investigation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JAN30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP