Will “Israel / Israeli” be said on The Briefing next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was not said on The Briefing in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
43%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Briefing with Jen Psaki
Israel / Israeli
- Probability
- 43% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Israel / Israeli |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Israel / Israeli” said on The Briefing?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was not said on The Briefing in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Israel / Israeli” is said on The Briefing next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP