What is the probability “Pool” appears on the NYT front page next time?

42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Will “Pool” appear on the next NYT front page?

Name: NYT front page: “Pool” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Pool” did not appear on the NYT front page on any of the 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.

42%from settlement history only · n=2counts: anyone

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: anyone

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 22:32 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The New York Times (front page)

Pool

Probability: 42% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)
Last 8 front pages: said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Monday, October 12otherNYT front-page headlines, October 12–18, 2026 · Oct 18, 2026In transcript

INQUIRY TARGETS TV POOL BOYCOTT

Tuesday, September 22otherNYT front-page headlines, September 21–27, 2026 · Sep 27, 2026In transcript

Networks Halt Pool Coverage Of President

Saturday, September 12otherNYT front-page headlines, September 7–13, 2026 · Sep 13, 2026In transcript

Contractor Admits Fault in Reﬂecting Pool Flub

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Jul 12, 2026	Pool	Polymarket	No
Jul 5, 2026	Pool	Polymarket	No

Questions

How often does “Pool” appear on the NYT front page?: As of Oct 24, 2026, “Pool” did not appear on the NYT front page on any of the 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability “Pool” appears on the NYT front page next time?: 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Pool’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/pool (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=pool · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP