Will “City” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “City” appeared on the NYT front page on the only day with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 24, 2026.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- May 19, 2026
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceLatest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Monday, October 19otherNYT front-page headlines, October 19–25, 2026 · Oct 25, 2026In transcriptMachines Face Hostile Public in Some Cities
Saturday, October 17otherNYT front-page headlines, October 12–18, 2026 · Oct 18, 2026In transcriptDanger in Daily Tasks as Russian Strikes Aim to Make City Unlivable
Monday, September 21otherNYT front-page headlines, September 21–27, 2026 · Sep 27, 2026In transcriptAn Uprooted ‘Cherry Orchard’ War Scars a Lebanese City
Thursday, September 17otherNYT front-page headlines, September 14–20, 2026 · Sep 20, 2026In transcriptIn a City of Aerial Reporting, a Crash Compounds a Story’s Sorrow
Sunday, September 13otherNYT front-page headlines, September 7–13, 2026 · Sep 13, 2026In transcriptUkrainian City Dreads Return Of the Invaders
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed
Open the appearanceWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed
Open the appearanceEvery settled listing
newest first · 1 shownEvery settled listing of this word, newest first| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|
| May 24, 2026 | City |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does “City” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “City” appeared on the NYT front page on the only day with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 24, 2026.
- What is the probability “City” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘City’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/city (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=city · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP
