Will Kevin Warsh say “Task Force”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Task Force” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Task Force
- Probability
- 68% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…economy. I care so much—I think it’s so important—that we established a task force that should report by the end of the year to help…
I’ve called for a task force to revisit both the private and public data we use to make our decisionmaking. That task force is out…
…words on a key initiative that we’re announcing today. I’m appointing a task force in each of five areas that are central to the broad…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Task Force |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Task Force | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Task Force”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Task Force” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Task Force” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Task Force’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/task-force (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=task%20force · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP