Will Kevin Warsh say “Stablecoin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Stablecoin” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Stablecoin
- Probability
- 15% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Stablecoin |  Kalshi | No |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Stablecoin | Kalshi | No |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Stablecoin | Kalshi | No |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Stablecoin | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Stablecoin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Stablecoin” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Stablecoin” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Stablecoin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/stablecoin (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=stablecoin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP