Will Kevin Warsh say “Resilient / Resilience”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Resilient / Resilience” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Resilient / Resilience
- Probability
- 68% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…uncertainty remains elevated—owing, in part, to geopolitical developments—domestic spending has been resilient. Productivity growth—strong; and capital investment is robust. Job gains have kept…
…making ample reserves in the banking system. The economy is showing impressive resilience. Even with recent shocks, the trends are positive and reveal solid growth.…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Resilient / Resilience |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Resilient / Resilience | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Resilient / Resilience”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Resilient / Resilience” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Resilient / Resilience” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Resilient / Resilience’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/resilience-or-resilient (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=resilience%20%2F%20resilient · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP