Will Kevin Warsh say “Renovation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Renovation” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Renovation
- Probability
- 18% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…The other question I wanted to ask is related to the building renovations. Are you considering any changes to the renovations, the projects, just in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Renovation |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Renovation | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Renovation”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Renovation” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Renovation” next time?
- 18%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Renovation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/renovation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=renovation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP