Will Kevin Warsh say “Recession”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Recession” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.