Will Kevin Warsh say “Iran”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Iran” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Iran
- Probability
- 20% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and downs. But is this mainly driven by energy prices and the Iran war at this point, or do you have any concerns about underlying…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Iran” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Iran” next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP