Will Kevin Warsh say “Wife / Family”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Wife / Family” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Wife / Family
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you some others. [Laughter] So you’re right. I asked for a good family fight, and I got one. That’s the purpose; that’s the design feature.…
…big subject for us. We took it on. We had a good family fight on it for a couple of days, and we ended up,…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Wife / Family |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Wife / Family”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Wife / Family” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Wife / Family” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Wife / Family’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/family-or-wife (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=family%20%2F%20wife · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP