Will Kevin Warsh say “Data”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Data” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 1, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Data
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…trends have meaningfully improved. Based on the most recent CPI and PPI data, the 12-month change in total PCE prices likely was around 3.6 percent…
…rate, what happened? In the intermeeting period, market attention centered on real data and real economic developments. Prices reacted in real time to incoming information,…
…second, the Fed’s balance sheet; third, our use and reliance on existing data sources; fourth, productivity and jobs in an era of transformation; and last,…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Data |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Data”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Data” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Data” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Data’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/data (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=data · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP