Will Kevin Warsh say “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 21% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency
- Probability
- 21% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency |  Kalshi | No |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency |  Polymarket | No |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | Kalshi | No |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency” next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/bitcoin-or-crypto-or-cryptocurrency (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto%20%2F%20cryptocurrency · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP