Will Kevin Warsh say “Balance Sheet”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Balance Sheet” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Balance Sheet
- Probability
- 19% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…primary monetary policy instrument, how much accommodation are we getting from the balance sheet? In all of this, our work is advancing at the Fed.…
…the broad conduct of monetary policy: First, Fed communications; second, the Fed’s balance sheet; third, our use and reliance on existing data sources; fourth, productivity…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Balance Sheet |  Kalshi | No |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Balance Sheet | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Balance Sheet”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Balance Sheet” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Balance Sheet” next time?
- 19%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Balance Sheet’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/balance-sheet (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=balance%20sheet · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP