What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Bank / Asset 10+ times” next time?

62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Kevin Warsh say “Bank / Asset” 10+ times?

Name: Kevin Warsh: “Bank / Asset 10+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Bank / Asset” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2026.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 00:28 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kevin Warsh

Bank / Asset 10+ times

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 3 transcripts: said in 2 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026In transcript

…at the G-20 meeting, which the U.S. hosted; and at a central bank conference in Basel—it was evident that most advanced economies are facing price…

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, July 29, 2026 · Jul 29, 2026In transcript

…change for the better—and we’re just getting started. After all, the central bank need not always and everywhere be the center of attention. I understand…

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, June 17, 2026 · Jun 17, 2026In transcript

…and unambiguous on it. It has been the practice of this central bank and others to have a range of alternatives. Today we had one.…

What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his Senate Confirmation Hearing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Aug 28, 2026	Bank / Asset 10+ times	Polymarket	Yes

Questions

How often does Kevin Warsh say “Bank / Asset 10+ times”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Bank / Asset” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2026.
What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Bank / Asset 10+ times” next time?: 62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Bank / Asset 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/asset-or-bank-10plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=asset%20%2F%20bank%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP