Will Kevin Warsh say “America / American” 2+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “America / American” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
America / American 2+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…into some further detail. Our decision comes at a time when the American economy appears to be strengthening. New hiring, private-sector earnings, business capital investment—each…
…Our credibility rests on performing our duties and delivering on our responsibilities. Americans are right to expect that because our nation’s prosperity depends on it.…
…long-stated inflation goal of 2 percent that’s been going on for more than five years. Persistently high prices are a burden for the American people.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | America / American 2+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “America / American 2+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “America / American” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “America / American 2+ times” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘America / American 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/america-or-american-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=america%20%2F%20american%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP