Will Christopher Waller say “Recession”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Christopher Waller did not say “Recession” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

20%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=christopher-waller&word=recession

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Christopher Waller

Recession

Probability
20% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Christopher Waller yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook remarks? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during remarks on AI? · not listed

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during his discussion At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy? · not listed

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during his discussion on payments? · not listed

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during the Payments Innovation Conference? · not listed

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during speech on Artificial Intelligence? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 8, 2026RecessionKalshiNo
Sep 3, 2026RecessionKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Christopher Waller say “Recession”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Christopher Waller did not say “Recession” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 3, 2026.
What is the probability Christopher Waller says “Recession” next time?
20%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Christopher Waller: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/christopher-waller/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=christopher-waller&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=christopher-waller&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP