Will Christopher Waller say “Productivity”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Christopher Waller said “Productivity” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (80%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

58%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=christopher-waller&word=productivity

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Christopher Waller

Productivity

Probability
58% · n=5
Settled
4/5 (80%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Christopher Waller yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during his discussion At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during the Payments Innovation Conference? · not listed

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during speech on Artificial Intelligence? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 8, 2026ProductivityKalshiYes
Oct 1, 2026ProductivityKalshiYes
Sep 3, 2026ProductivityKalshiYes
May 19, 2026ProductivityKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025ProductivityKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Christopher Waller say “Productivity”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Christopher Waller said “Productivity” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (80%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026.
What is the probability Christopher Waller says “Productivity” next time?
58%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Christopher Waller: ‘Productivity’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/christopher-waller/words/productivity (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=christopher-waller&word=productivity · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=christopher-waller&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP