Will Christopher Waller say “Monetary Policy”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Christopher Waller said “Monetary Policy” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

51%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=christopher-waller&word=monetary%20policy

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Christopher Waller

Monetary Policy

Probability
51% · n=6
Settled
3/6 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Christopher Waller yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook remarks? · settled yes

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during remarks on AI? · settled yes

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook? · settled yes

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during his discussion At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy? · not listed

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during his discussion on payments? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during the Payments Innovation Conference? · settled no

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What will Fed Gov Waller say during speech on Artificial Intelligence? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 8, 2026Monetary PolicyKalshiYes
Oct 1, 2026Monetary PolicyKalshiYes
Sep 3, 2026Monetary PolicyKalshiYes
Nov 13, 2025Monetary PolicyKalshiNo
Oct 22, 2025Monetary PolicyKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025Monetary PolicyKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Christopher Waller say “Monetary Policy”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Christopher Waller said “Monetary Policy” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026.
What is the probability Christopher Waller says “Monetary Policy” next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Christopher Waller: ‘Monetary Policy’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/christopher-waller/words/monetary-policy (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=christopher-waller&word=monetary%20policy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=christopher-waller&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP