Will “Fake” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fake” was said on Survivor in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2025 (25%), most recently on Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=4counts: the host
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Fake

Probability
38% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

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What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 23, 2025FakeKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025FakeKalshiYes
Oct 8, 2025FakeKalshiNo
Oct 1, 2025FakeKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Fake” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fake” was said on Survivor in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2025 (25%), most recently on Oct 16, 2025.
What is the probability “Fake” is said on Survivor next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Fake’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/fake (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=fake · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP