Will “Clue” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Clue” was said on Survivor in 4 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (36%), most recently on May 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history only · n=11counts: contestants (not the host)
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
contestants (not the host)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Clue

Probability
40% · n=11
Settled
4/11 (36%)

Next listing counts: contestants (not the host)

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 21, 2026ClueKalshiYes
May 14, 2026ClueKalshiNo
May 7, 2026ClueKalshiNo
Apr 30, 2026ClueKalshiNo
Apr 23, 2026ClueKalshiNo
Apr 16, 2026ClueKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026ClueKalshiNo
Apr 2, 2026ClueKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026ClueKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026ClueKalshiYes
Mar 11, 2026ClueKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Clue” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Clue” was said on Survivor in 4 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (36%), most recently on May 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Clue” is said on Survivor next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: contestants (not the host).

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Clue’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/clue (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=clue · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP