Will “Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal” was said on Survivor in 6 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (55%), most recently on May 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history only · n=11counts: contestants (not the host)
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
contestants (not the host)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=betray%20%2F%20betrayal%20%2F%20betrayed

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal

Probability
47% · n=11
Settled
6/11 (55%)

Next listing counts: contestants (not the host)

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 21, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiYes
May 14, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiNo
May 7, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiNo
Apr 30, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiNo
Apr 23, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiYes
Apr 2, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiNo
Mar 11, 2026Betray / Betrayed / BetrayalKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal” was said on Survivor in 6 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (55%), most recently on May 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal” is said on Survivor next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: contestants (not the host).

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/betray-or-betrayal-or-betrayed (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=betray%20%2F%20betrayal%20%2F%20betrayed · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP