Ulta (ULTA)

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 84 word markets on Ulta’s earnings calls since 2025, on 28 different words.

Latest call, Aug 27 · 0:04. Play the clip

History Wall

1–28 of 28, most settled first
Ulta: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ3’24Dec '24Q4’24Mar '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Aug '25Q3’25Dec '25Q4’25Mar '26Q1’27Jun '26Q2’27last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Luxury2 times: Luxury, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said1 time: Luxury, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said0 times: Luxury, Q1’25 May '250 times: Luxury, Q2’25 Aug '254 times: Luxury, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said2 times: Luxury, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said3 times: Luxury, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Luxury, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%4/850%24/6935%85%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Uncertaintyevery call1 time: Uncertainty, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said2 times: Uncertainty, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said9 times: Uncertainty, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said4 times: Uncertainty, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said2 times: Uncertainty, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said3 times: Uncertainty, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said5 times: Uncertainty, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said4 times: Uncertainty, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%69/69100%91%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Holiday33 times: Holiday, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said7 times: Holiday, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said2 times: Holiday, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: Holiday, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said21 times: Holiday, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said14 times: Holiday, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said0 times: Holiday, Q1’27 Jun '263 times: Holiday, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%7/888%66/6996%92%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Reward1 time: Reward, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said1 time: Reward, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said0 times: Reward, Q1’25 May '250 times: Reward, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Reward, Q3’25 Dec '252 times: Reward, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said2 times: Reward, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Reward, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising5/862%4/850%52/6975%73%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Traffic4 times: Traffic, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said1 time: Traffic, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said3 times: Traffic, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Traffic, Q2’25 Aug '251 time: Traffic, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said0 times: Traffic, Q4’25 Mar '263 times: Traffic, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said3 times: Traffic, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady6/875%5/862%66/6996%74%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Diamond4 times: Diamond, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: Diamond, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Diamond, Q1’25 May '250 times: Diamond, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Diamond, Q3’25 Dec '251 time: Diamond, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said0 times: Diamond, Q1’27 Jun '260 times: Diamond, Q2’27 Aug '26falling2/825%2/825%23/6933%24%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Store Opening4 times: Store Opening, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: Store Opening, Q4’24 Mar '251 time: Store Opening, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: Store Opening, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said0 times: Store Opening, Q3’25 Dec '250 times: Store Opening, Q4’25 Mar '260 times: Store Opening, Q1’27 Jun '261 time: Store Opening, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling4/850%3/838%50/6972%40%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Dec '241 time: Tariff, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said2 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said4 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Mar '260 times: Tariff, Q1’27 Jun '260 times: Tariff, Q2’27 Aug '26falling4/850%3/838%6/699%40%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
AI / Artificial Intelligence3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Mar '252 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Dec '259 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said7 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising5/862%5/862%19/6928%90%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Space NK0 times: Space NK, Q3’24 Dec '240 times: Space NK, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Space NK, Q1’25 May '2516 times: Space NK, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said15 times: Space NK, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said16 times: Space NK, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said11 times: Space NK, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said10 times: Space NK, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising5/862%5/862%5/697%94%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Target4 times: Target, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said5 times: Target, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said0 times: Target, Q1’25 May '257 times: Target, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said3 times: Target, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said5 times: Target, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said3 times: Target, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Target, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady7/888%6/875%65/6994%87%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Google / Gemini0 times: Google / Gemini, Q3’24 Dec '240 times: Google / Gemini, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Google / Gemini, Q1’25 May '250 times: Google / Gemini, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Google / Gemini, Q3’25 Dec '250 times: Google / Gemini, Q4’25 Mar '262 times: Google / Gemini, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Google / Gemini, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising2/825%2/825%8/6912%63%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Market Share4 times: Market Share, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said7 times: Market Share, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said1 time: Market Share, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: Market Share, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said9 times: Market Share, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said10 times: Market Share, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said4 times: Market Share, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said9 times: Market Share, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%63/6991%94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Middle East0 times: Middle East, Q3’24 Dec '241 time: Middle East, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said0 times: Middle East, Q1’25 May '251 time: Middle East, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said2 times: Middle East, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said2 times: Middle East, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said2 times: Middle East, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Middle East, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%6/875%6/699%78%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Rare Beauty0 times: Rare Beauty, Q3’24 Dec '240 times: Rare Beauty, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Rare Beauty, Q1’25 May '250 times: Rare Beauty, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Rare Beauty, Q3’25 Dec '251 time: Rare Beauty, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said3 times: Rare Beauty, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Rare Beauty, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising3/838%3/838%3/694%71%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Headwind3 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said2 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said2 times: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Dec '251 time: Headwind, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said0 times: Headwind, Q1’27 Jun '261 time: Headwind, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling5/862%4/850%45/6965%52%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Tailwind1 time: Tailwind, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '250 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Dec '250 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Mar '260 times: Tailwind, Q1’27 Jun '260 times: Tailwind, Q2’27 Aug '26falling1/812%0/80%15/6922%14%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Wicked4 times: Wicked, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: Wicked, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Wicked, Q1’25 May '250 times: Wicked, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Wicked, Q3’25 Dec '250 times: Wicked, Q4’25 Mar '260 times: Wicked, Q1’27 Jun '260 times: Wicked, Q2’27 Aug '26falling1/812%1/812%1/691%16%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Fragrance9 times: Fragrance, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said3 times: Fragrance, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said8 times: Fragrance, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said3 times: Fragrance, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said4 times: Fragrance, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said6 times: Fragrance, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said8 times: Fragrance, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said13 times: Fragrance, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%68/6999%94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Growth30+ times39 times: Growth 30+ times, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said44 times: Growth 30+ times, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said44 times: Growth 30+ times, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said61 times: Growth 30+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said49 times: Growth 30+ times, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said78 times: Growth 30+ times, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said71 times: Growth 30+ times, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said80 times: Growth 30+ times, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%7/888%54/6978%84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Healthy3 times: Healthy, Q3’24 Dec '24, counts as said5 times: Healthy, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said1 time: Healthy, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: Healthy, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Healthy, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said3 times: Healthy, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said6 times: Healthy, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Healthy, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%62/6990%88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Iran / Middle East0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’24 Dec '241 time: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 May '251 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said2 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Dec '25, counts as said2 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said2 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%6/875%6/699%77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
TikTok0 times: TikTok, Q3’24 Dec '240 times: TikTok, Q4’24 Mar '251 time: TikTok, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: TikTok, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said0 times: TikTok, Q3’25 Dec '253 times: TikTok, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said5 times: TikTok, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said8 times: TikTok, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as saidrising5/862%3/838%13/6919%85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Cosmetic0 times: Cosmetic, Q3’24 Dec '240 times: Cosmetic, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Cosmetic, Q1’25 May '250 times: Cosmetic, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Cosmetic, Q3’25 Dec '251 time: Cosmetic, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said1 time: Cosmetic, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said0 times: Cosmetic, Q2’27 Aug '26rising2/825%2/825%60/6987%29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Fiscal10+ times6 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q3’24 Dec '24, below the threshold9 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q4’24 Mar '25, below the threshold6 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q1’25 May '25, below the threshold4 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, below the threshold4 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q3’25 Dec '25, below the threshold20 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said11 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said8 times: Fiscal 10+ times, Q2’27 Aug '26, below the thresholdrising2/825%1/812%16/6923%31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Medicine0 times: Medicine, Q3’24 Dec '240 times: Medicine, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Medicine, Q1’25 May '250 times: Medicine, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Medicine, Q3’25 Dec '250 times: Medicine, Q4’25 Mar '261 time: Medicine, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said0 times: Medicine, Q2’27 Aug '26steady1/812%1/812%2/693%21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Product20+ times16 times: Product 20+ times, Q3’24 Dec '24, below the threshold5 times: Product 20+ times, Q4’24 Mar '25, below the threshold10 times: Product 20+ times, Q1’25 May '25, below the threshold8 times: Product 20+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, below the threshold8 times: Product 20+ times, Q3’25 Dec '25, below the threshold9 times: Product 20+ times, Q4’25 Mar '26, below the threshold7 times: Product 20+ times, Q1’27 Jun '26, below the threshold8 times: Product 20+ times, Q2’27 Aug '26, below the thresholdfalling0/80%0/80%15/6922%11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Times Square0 times: Times Square, Q3’24 Dec '240 times: Times Square, Q4’24 Mar '250 times: Times Square, Q1’25 May '250 times: Times Square, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Times Square, Q3’25 Dec '250 times: Times Square, Q4’25 Mar '261 time: Times Square, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said0 times: Times Square, Q2’27 Aug '26steady1/812%1/812%1/691%21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 84 of 84 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Aug 27, 2026Earnings call FY27 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript3021 yes · 9 no30/30 (100%)
Jun 2, 2026Earnings call FY27 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript1610 yes · 6 no16/16 (100%)
Mar 12, 2026Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript1410 yes · 4 no14/14 (100%)
Dec 4, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript2416 yes · 8 no24/24 (100%)
Aug 28, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 29, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Mar 13, 2025Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Dec 5, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Aug 29, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 30, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Mar 14, 2024Earnings call FY23 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Nov 30, 2023Earnings call FY23 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “Ulta (ULTA): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ULTA (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/ulta · words: /api/v1/history?entity=ulta · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP