Will Ulta say “Headwind”?
Ulta said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ulta said “Headwind” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ulta
Headwind
- Probability
- 53% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…strong growth from our store fixed costs. This is inclusive of absorbing headwinds like increased fuel costs as well. The team across the board has…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…channel mix and deleverage of store fixed costs and other revenue. These headwinds were mostly offset by lower inventory shrink and leverage of supply chain…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…exclusive brand Morphe and Ulta Beauty, Inc. collection did not fully offset headwinds from certain brands, which lapsed strong newness and social engagement in the…
…stores. So you know, some of that is the fading of that headwind, which you've talked about for a while now. Some of that seems…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Ulta say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Ulta said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Ulta say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Ulta said “Headwind” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Ulta says “Headwind” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ulta: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ULTA/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ulta&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ulta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP