Will Ulta say “Rare Beauty”?

Ulta said “Rare Beauty” 2 times on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ulta said “Rare Beauty” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

71%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ulta

Rare Beauty

Probability
71% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 27, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Kecia Steelmancompanyprepared · 8:33Hear it 8:28, Kecia Steelman In transcript

…brands over time. From a broader newness perspective, newly launched brands like Rare Beauty, Amika, and Moroccanoil contributed nicely to performance. During the quarter, we…

Chris Del Oreficecompanyprepared · 22:52Hear it 22:46, Chris Del Orefice In transcript

…launch with Half Magic, as well as ongoing performance of new brand Rare Beauty, drove guest excitement and low double-digit growth for prestige makeup. Mass…

FY27 Q1 earnings call, Jun 2, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Kecia SteelmancompanypreparedIn transcript

…Tinted, and held several workshops to support education for brands like Redken, Rare Beauty, and Lancôme. As we look to Q2, we will stay focused…

Kecia SteelmancompanypreparedIn transcript

…we launched more than 20 new brands, including our record-breaking launch of Rare Beauty in makeup, Balmain, an exclusive early lead brand in fragrance, Bloomeffects…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 12, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Kecia L. SteelmancompanypreparedIn transcript

…beauty needs with innovative and relevant newness like the record-breaking launch of Rare Beauty by Selena Gomez and the exclusive launch of Balmain's new scent,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Dec 4, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 28, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 29, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 13, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Dec 5, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 27, 2026Rare BeautyKalshiYes2
Jun 2, 2026Rare BeautyKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Ulta say “Rare Beauty” on its last earnings call?
Ulta said “Rare Beauty” 2 times on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 2 times.
How often does Ulta say “Rare Beauty”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ulta said “Rare Beauty” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026.
What is the probability Ulta says “Rare Beauty” next time?
71%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ulta: ‘Rare Beauty’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ULTA/words/rare-beauty (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ulta&word=rare%20beauty · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ulta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP